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NEW: Brown Pulls Ahead In Poll After Second Debate

Tuesday, October 09, 2012


Republican Senator Scott Brown has pulled ahead of Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren, 47-43, in a new poll from WBUR, the first survey conducted after last week's Massachusetts Senate debate in Lowell.

The poll of 501 likely voters, conducted October 5 through 7, has a 4.4 percent margin of error.

WBUR's previous Senate poll, conducted September 26 to 28, found Warren leading Brown by 2 points, 46 to 44 percent, while a September 15 to 17 poll conducted with the MassINC Polling Group had Warren ahead by 5 points, 45-40.

However, a UMass-Amherst poll released later in the day on Tuesday found Warren hanging onto a 2-point lead, 48-46, over Brown.

That survey was conducted online by YouGov America between October 2 and 8 and had a sample of 500 registered voters with a margin of error of 5 percent.

“In the wake of two debates and a barrage of negative political advertisements, Warren has maintained a narrow lead over Brown among likely voters,” said Tatishe Nteta, a UMass-Amherst political scientist and one of the poll's associate directors.

“Even though voters perceive Brown to be running a more negative campaign, he continues to win the personality battle against Warren."

The two candidates will meet in Springfield for the third of four scheduled Senate debates on Wednesday evening.


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