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slides: What the Polls Are Saying About Brown v. Warren

Tuesday, July 03, 2012


The race for the the U.S. Senate is heating up here in Massachusetts with incumbent Scott Brown (R) fighting to hold off challenger Elizabeth Warren (D).  Take a look at what all the latest polls are saying about this historic race.

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Brown v. Warren

The race for the the U.S. Senate is heating up here in Massachusetts with incumbent Scott Brown (R) fighting to hold off challenger Elizabeth Warren (D). The race has gotten down and dirty, with Brown challenging Warren's claims to be 1/32nd Cherokee and Warren slamming Brown for being a Wall Street yes-man.

Warren started out far behind Senator Brown in most polls, but closed the gap over the last few months, even taking the lead at certain points. The latest poll released has the two locked in a virtual tie for the Senate seat in what is expected to go down as the most expensive Senate race in American history.

Now, take a look at what all the latest polls are saying about this historic race.

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Public Policy Polling

Poll Dates: June 22-24

Brown: 46%

Warren: 46%

Undecided or Other: 8%

Inside the Numbers:

After falling behind Warren in the last Public Policy Poll, Brown has surged back five points thanks to new found support from independent voters. Brown led Warren by 12 points among independents in the last poll, but has doubled that number to take a 24 point lead in that category.

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Western New England U.

Poll Dates: May 29-31

Brown: 43%

Warren: 45%

Undecided or Other: 12%

Inside the Numbers:

Once again Brown scores big with independent voters, beating out Warren 50% to 37% on that front.  As for Central Mass, Brown has tremendous support in the heart of the Commonwealth, edging Warren by 14 points in the region. But, Warren's appeal in the Boston-metro area, and amongst voters over the age of 50 puts her over the top in this poll.

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The Boston Globe

Poll Dates: May 25-31

Brown: 39%

Warren: 37%

Undecided or Other: 24%

Inside the Numbers:

This poll saw Warren gain ground on Brown from the last Globe poll, but may have also hinted that the controversy surrounding her Native American heritage is hurting her. Despite jumping up one percent in popularity to 48%, Warren also saw a nine point increase in her detractors, up to 32%.

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Suffolk University

Poll Dates: May 20-22

Brown: 48%

Warren: 47%

Undecided or Other: 5%

Inside the Numbers:

Each of the candidates scored well in different categories. Those polled seemed to trust Brown more to tell the truth, giving him a slight 40% to 37% edge over Warren. They also gave Brown a five point edge in terms of who would be the more independent Senator. But, those polled also thought Warren would better represent the middle class by 13 points over Brown.


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Rasmussen Reports

Poll Dates: May 7

Brown: 45%

Warren: 45%

Undecided or Other: 10%

Inside the Numbers:

The Rasmussen Report polled 500 likely voters, but did not release results, other than who each participant planned to vote for, in their free article.


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Mass Inc. Polling Group

Poll Dates: April 25-28

Brown: 41%

Warren: 43%

Undecided or Other: 16%

Inside the Numbers:

The Mass Inc. poll did not go into detail breaking down the demographics of those polled, but did delve into their opinions of other Massachusetts and U.S. officials. What Mass Inc. found, not unexpectedly, was that the voters held largely favorable opinions of Democratic politicians Governor Deval Patrick and President Barack Obama. But, it also found that Commonwealth voters were not as quick to express these opinions for Elizabeth Warren. She received only a 17% "very favorable" rating, compared to 26% for Patrick and 41% for Obama.


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