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Post-Draft 2016 Quarterback Power Rankings

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

 

Cam Newton of the Carolina Panthers

The Denver Broncos taught us last season that defense wins championships. Even with Peyton Manning practically immobilized in the pocket for the duration of the playoffs, the Broncos marched to the Super Bowl and defeated MVP Cam Newton and his Carolina Panthers.

That being said, good quarterbacks get teams to the playoffs. Six of the top seven NFL teams in terms of passer rating in 2015 qualified for the postseason, with the New Orleans Saints and their dreadful defense being the lone exception.

With the 2016 NFL Draft in the rear-view mirror and the vast majority of free agents signed (ahem, Ryan Fitzpatrick), we have quite a bit of clarity regarding each team's quarterback situation as we draw closer to training camp. Now seems as good of a time as any to rank the projected first-stringers under center.

PointAfter's power rankings of the 32 presumed starters are determined with an eye toward each guy's 2015 passer rating, but the overarching factor is job security. Which guys are entrenched as long-term starters, and which are a few bad starts away from getting the hook early on in 2016?

Note: Players with "N/A" next to their 2015 passer rating did not throw at least 50 passes last season. The parenthesized passer rating rankings on each slide denote a player's standing among the 29 qualified projected starters.

#32. New York Jets: Geno Smith

2015 Passer Rating: N/A
Stock: Down

The Jets and Ryan Fitzpatrick are just waiting for each other to blink in contract negotiations. Even though he's unsigned, Fitzpatrick is still No. 1 on the team's official depth chart. If that doesn't happen, Smith has been tapped as the first-choice starter — but even if Fitzpatrick doesn't return to the Meadowlands, rookie Christian Hackenberg is ready to pounce whenever Smith tosses his first back-breaking interception.

#31. Philadelphia Eagles: Sam Bradford

2015 Passer Rating: 86.4 (22nd)
Stock: Down

It wasn't looking good for Bradford after Philadelphia traded up for Carson Wentz in the NFL Draft, and the situation got even worse when Bradford initiated the pettiest "holdout" in league history. Most guys would keep their heads down and embrace the new competition — outwardly, at least. Bradford, who didn't exactly light the league on fire in 2015, threw a hissy fit before realizing it was in his best interest to shut up and collect his $18 million paycheck. The Eagles are one of the few teams who'd even give Bradford a shot at starting, anyway.

#30. Cleveland Browns: Robert Griffin III

2015 Passer Rating: N/A
Stock: Down

Relegated to the league's saddest franchise, RGIII's star has tumbled below the horizon over the last few years. At least it seems like he'll get the first crack at starting in Cleveland, a privilege he seemed unlikely to claim while wasting away on Washington's bench last season.

#29. San Francisco 49ers: Blaine Gabbert

2015 Passer Rating: 86.2 (23rd)
Stock: Up

Gabbert performed decently enough last year to hold onto the starting job heading into 2016. But you'd better believe new 49ers head coach Chip Kelly will search for any excuse to re-insert Colin Kaepernick if Gabbert falters early on and Kaepernick exhibits his past promise and a good attitude. The stink from Gabbert's disastrous Jacksonville tenure still emanates around him, so it's hard to put too much stock into his mini-resurgence — especially since he has to learn an entirely new offense this summer.

#28. Denver Broncos: Mark Sanchez

2015 Passer Rating: 80.7 (26th)
Stock: Neutral

You gotta give it to Mark Sanchez. The Broncos moved up to pick QB Paxton Lynch in the first round of the draft, and he perceived it as a vote of confidence. That's the sort of sub-standard comprehension we've come to expect from "Sanchize" on the field, but it's truly impressive to see that translate to off-season transactions.

Though the 29-year-old is expected to emerge from training camp as Denver's starter, he won't retain that position for long if he reverts to his turnover-prone ways.

#27. Los Angeles Rams: Jared Goff

Jared Goff Draft

2015 College Stats: 4,714 yards, 64.5 completion percentage, 43-13 TD-INT ratio in 13 games
Stock: Neutral

Yes, Goff is already ahead of a handful of veteran luminaries. The Rams seem content to hand the rookie the starting reins from Day 1, and it'd take a hugely disappointing debut for Los Angeles to reverse course back to Case Keenum.

#26. Miami Dolphins: Ryan Tannehill

2015 Passer Rating: 88.7 (17th)
Stock: Down

Perhaps no man has let the grip on his starting QB job loosen as much over the past 12 months as Tannehill. Miami went 6-10 last year, the team's worst showing with Tannehill under center. The 27-year-old will get a fresh start with head coach and offensive guru Adam Gase this fall. If he shows no significant progress during his fifth season, expect a change at the position in 2017.

#25. Chicago Bears: Jay Cutler

2015 Passer Rating: 92.3 (13th)
Stock: Down

It's sort of surprising Cutler hasn't been run out of Chicago by now. The only thing preventing that seems to be his onerous contract. Even so, 2016 is probably the last chance for Cutler to guide the Bears to the playoffs. With a healthy pair of explosive receivers in Alshon Jeffery (who missed seven games last year) and Kevin White (who didn't play a snap after being drafted in the first round), the pressure is on Cutler to produce.

#24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jameis Winston

2015 Passer Rating: 84.2 (24th)
Stock: Up

After a sloppy start to his professional career, Winston got more comfortable as his debut campaign progressed. He even tied a rookie record with five touchdowns in a 45-17 romp over the Philadelphia Eagles. But let's be honest: His Pro Bowl nod as an alternate was a sham. If Winston regresses in 2016, Tampa Bay has to at least consider prepping a Plan B in case their No. 1 pick busts.

#23. Tennessee Titans: Marcus Mariota

2015 Passer Rating: 91.5 (14th)
Stock: Up

Mariota had a better statistical debut season than the guy who was drafted before him, but a knee injury ended his season a couple weeks early. Tennessee drafted tackle Jack Conklin in the draft, so it's apparent the Titans' top priority is protecting their quarterback of the future. Smart move — Mariota showed in 2015 that he has the potential to star in this league, though he's still a couple years off.

#22. Jacksonville Jaguars: Blake Bortles

2015 Passer Rating: 88.2 (19th)
Stock: Up

Bortles improved his average yard output by nearly 70 yards per game in 2015, but he could still stand to complete more than 58 percent of his passes while cutting down on his interception total (18).

#21. Minnesota Vikings: Teddy Bridgewater

2015 Passer Rating: 88.7 (18th)
Stock: Up

Bridgewater hasn't been bad by any means during his first two seasons. He even made it to the playoffs last season. But he hasn't exactly quieted the scouts who questioned his arm prior to the 2014 NFL Draft — his longest completion last year gained 52 yards.

In his current form, Bridgewater is a game manager and nothing more. That's okay when you have Adrian Peterson at your disposal, but for how much longer will AP be able to shoulder the load in Minnesota's offense?

#20. Houston Texans: Brock Osweiler

2015 Passer Rating: 86.4 (21st)
Stock: Up

Osweiler left the Broncos at the altar when he felt the Texans coveted his services more than the team that benched him for the playoffs, wresting power into his own hands. What if he's not that good, though? With DeAndre Hopkins and first-round pick Will Fuller projected to start at wideout and newly signed Lamar Miller in the backfield, Osweiler will be expected to improve upon his eight-game sample size in Denver, not just match it.

#19. Detroit Lions: Matthew Stafford

2015 Passer Rating: 97.0 (7th)
Stock: Down

If Stafford couldn't win a playoff game with Calvin Johnson at his disposal, will he ever? Though the 28-year-old's completion percentage rocketed up to a career-high 67.2 percent in 2015, Lions fans are growing increasingly restless over their postseason victory drought of 24 seasons, the longest such streak in the NFL.

#18. Baltimore Ravens: Joe Flacco

2015 Passer Rating: 83.1 (25th)
Stock: Down

Though Flacco posted career highs in yards per game (279.1) and completion percentage (64.4%) in 2015, he only managed 14 touchdowns against 12 interceptions as Baltimore floundered to a 5-11 record, the worst of the Flacco era.

#17. Buffalo Bills: Tyrod Taylor

2015 Passer Rating: 99.4 (8th)
Stock: Up

Taylor doesn't have a proven track record on his side, but a breakout 2015 campaign led to his first Pro Bowl berth. However, it feels like the Bills squandered an opportunity to capitalize on Taylor's career year with a playoff berth. It's unclear how long of a rope Rex Ryan would give the former sixth-round pick if he struggles extensively in his second season as a starter.

#16. Oakland Raiders: Derek Carr

2015 Passer Rating: 91.1 (15th)
Stock: Up

Carr's tangible accomplishments probably don't merit a ranking this high, but there's undeniably positive vibes surrounding the Raiders right now. That's something that hasn't been true for over a decade.

The former Fresno State Bulldog made strides during his "sophomore" NFL campaign, he has the full backing of Oakland's coaching staff, and there are enough weapons around him now to expect another step forward in 2016.

#15. Dallas Cowboys: Tony Romo

2015 Passer Rating: 79.4 (27th)
Stock: Down

Romo exorcised his playoff demons in 2014 and was graded out as the league's top passer by ESPN's QBR metric, but a shaky, injury-plagued follow-up season raised questions about how much longer the 36-year-old's back can hold up.

#14. San Diego Chargers: Philip Rivers

2015 Passer Rating: 93.8 (12th)
Stock: Down

San Diego's fall from grace in 2015 was far from Rivers' fault, but time is running out for the 34-year-old to secure a lasting playoff legacy. He's reached the postseason just once in the past six seasons, and has only advanced to the AFC Championship once.

#13. Atlanta Falcons: Matt Ryan

2015 Passer Rating: 89.0 (16th)
Stock: Down

Rivers and Ryan are neck-and-neck, and you could make a case for Ryan being lower since his red-zone turnovers cost Atlanta a couple games in 2015. His recent playoff success keeps him ahead by a nose, for now. Another campaign without postseason football would ramp up the speculation on Ryan's position.

#12. Kansas City Chiefs: Alex Smith

2015 Passer Rating: 95.4 (10th)
Stock: Up

Though Kansas City's running backs crumbled around him, Smith guided the Chiefs to the divisional round of the playoffs following a 30-0 victory over Houston and its vaunted defense. That's no small feat.

Smith deserves to shed his long-held "game manager" label after passing for a career-high 3,486 yards last season, which saw him build a solid rapport with Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce.

#11. New York Giants: Eli Manning

2015 Passer Rating: 93.6 (13th)
Stock: Neutral

You can't blame Peyton's little brother for New York's second straight 6-10 finish. Manning's connection with Odell Beckham Jr. continued to blossom, as he posted arguably the best statistical output of his career.

#10. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck

2015 Passer Rating: 74.9 (29th)
Stock: Down

I don't know what it's like to play through an injured shoulder if you're a quarterback in the NFL, but it must feel pretty awful. The supremely talented Luck posted the worst passer rating of any projected 2016 starter last year. Though it's probably best to throw his 2015 stats to the wayside, it's worth watching his interception total this season. He's starting to look more like the second coming of Brett Favre in that sense rather than Peyton Manning.

#9. Washington Redskins: Kirk Cousins

2015 Passer Rating: 101.6 (5th)
Stock: Up

No player improved his stock more in 2015 than Cousins. Washington's newly anointed franchise quarterback seized the opportunity of being the full-time starter from training camp onwards, racking up 4,166 yards while leading the Skins back to the playoffs for the first time since 2012.

#8. Pittsburgh Steelers: Ben Roethlisberger

2015 Passer Rating: 94.5 (11th)
Stock: Down

Roethlisberger has the unquestioned loyalty of Steelers fans on his side, but you might have expected better numbers from last season given the embarrassment of riches at wideout in Pittsburgh. Big Ben will be somewhat tested in 2016 by the year-long absence of Martavis Bryant due to a substance abuse suspension, but he's still got Antonio Brown to target.

#7. Cincinnati Bengals: Andy Dalton

2015 Passer Rating: 106.3(2nd)
Stock: Up

You have to feel for Bengals fans, who finally witnessed Dalton ascend to an elite level (yep, I said it) in 2015 before a thumb injury derailed Cincy's playoff hopes. Mohamed Sanu and Marvin Jones both bolted during free agency, so Dalton's mettle will be tested as he attempts to maintain the consistency shown last year.

#6. New Orleans Saints: Drew Brees

2015 Passer Rating: 101.0 (6th)
Stock: Neutral

Brees keeps squeezing out 4,500 yards year after year (that's seven of the past eight seasons, if you're counting), but his touchdown total has shrank five years running as the rest of New Orleans' core has eroded around him.

#5. Arizona Cardinals: Carson Palmer

2015 Passer Rating: 104.6 (3rd)
Stock: Up

Palmer was an MVP candidate, if not the frontrunner, halfway through the season. He eventually succumbed to the runaway train that was Cam Newton, but the 36-year-old showed he still has the arm to keep Arizona in contention for at least a couple more years.

#4. New England Patriots: Tom Brady

2015 Passer Rating: 102.2 (4th)
Stock: Neutral

Delayed Deflategate suspension aside, there's seemingly nothing stopping Brady from churning out one more Super Bowl run. New England added some useful contributors for Brady to throw to in tight end Martellus Bennett and wideouts Chris Hogan and Nate Washington. If those guys don't get you excited, you should see who was lining up for the Patriots by the end of 2015 after a severely snake-bitten run of injuries. Nevertheless, Brady reversed a four-year trend of declining yardage to log 4,770 passing yards and 36 touchdowns.

#3. Seattle Seahawks: Russell Wilson

2015 Passer Rating: 110.1 (1st)
Stock: Up

Wilson and Doug Baldwin embarked on a record-breaking spree near the end of last season, signaling the arrival of both as unquestioned top-tier performers at their respective positions. That is, if you didn't already consider Wilson a top-five QB after playing in two straight Super Bowls. Though the Seahawks didn't make it back for Super Bowl 50, they have as good of a chance as any NFC contender to return next winter thanks to the maturation of Wilson and what should be an improved offensive line.

#2. Green Bay Packers: Aaron Rodgers

2015 Passer Rating: 92.7 (14th)
Stock: Neutral

Rodgers' passer rating took a dive last year, but this is the guy who pulled off not one, but two miraculous Hail Marys last season. The 2014 MVP is safely perched above just about every other signal-caller on the league-wide hierarchy. All except one, that is.

#1. Carolina Panthers: Cam Newton

2015 Passer Rating: 99.4 (7th)
Stock: Up

The reigning MVP made major strides as a pocket passer in 2015 despite working with one of the least inspiring receiving corps in the NFL. But he made it work, transforming Ted Ginn Jr. into a legit No. 1 wideout via a steady diet of deep bombs and play action. The Panthers very nearly pulled off an undefeated regular season and came one win short of Carolina's first championship. All these accomplishments have Newton atop our preseason power rankings.

Explore NFL Player Profiles on PointAfter

 

Related Slideshow: The New England Patriots - Greatest Team Ever

The New England Patriots have won their fourth Super Bowl in the Brady/Belichick Era by defeating the Seattle Seahawks 28-24 in Super Bowl XLIX in Arizona. With that win, the Patriots have now put themselves in the conversation as being the greatest team ever in NFL history. 

Here are ten reasons why they are in fact the greatest team!

Prev Next

10.

 Free Agency/Salary Cap Era Dominance 

Since the beginning of the free agency and salary cap era in 1993, no coach and team has been more well-known for shrewd moves to stay under the salary cap and bringing in free agents to supplement the talent on his team, and win at the same time, as the New England Patriots. 

In 2001, coach Belichick brought in free agents David Patten, Larry Izzo, Mike Vrabel, Antowain Smith, Bryan Cox and Roman Phifer. The Patriots won their first Super Bowl. 

Belichick continued to bring in major free agents for the Patriots’ other Super Bowl runs. Whether it was Roosevelt Colvin and Rodney Harrison in 2003 or trading for Corey Dillon in 2004. 

Belichick has also not been afraid to let star players walk. This includes allowing Ty Law to leave in 2005, Willie McGinest and Adam Vinatieri to leave and trading Deion Branch in 2006 or letting Asante Samuel leave in 2008.

Belichick has also not been afraid to pull the trigger on major trades just prior to the season starting. Trading players like Lawyer Milloy, Richard Seymour and Logan Mankins less than a month before the start of those respective seasons. 

Despite all of these moves, the Patriots have continued to win year in and year out. 

Prev Next

9.

12 Straight Seasons of atLeast 10 Wins or More

The New England Patriots have had at least 10 wins in a season for 12 straight seasons. The last time the Patriots didn't have at least 10 wins in a season was in 2002 when they went 9-7 the year after winning a Super Bowl. 

In this stretch, New England has won 16 games once, 12 games four times, 14 games three times, 13 and 11 games once and ten games two times. 

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8.

As the game changes, Patriots still win. 

When the Patriots started this incredible run in 2001, the game was much different then it is today. 

The running game was still emphasized and defense's were allowed to be much more physical then they are in the game today. 

Today's game features rules that are structured to help the offense score more points and teams, including the Patriots, have had to change the way they play defense and the way they hit, due to the emphasis on concussion prevention. 

Through all the rule changes that the league has undergone, the Patriots have still won, year in and year out. 

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5.

14 Consecutive Winning Seasons

In Bill Belichick's first season in New England, 2000, the Patriots went 5-11 and missed the playoffs for the second straight season. Since then, the Patriots have not had a losing season, not even a .500 season, 14 straight winning seasons. 

Looking at all the seasons, one of the most impressive seasons still remains the 2008 season. Tom Brady got hurt in the first game and was out for the season and Matt Cassell stepped in to replace him. 

The Patriots went 11-5 that year but missed the playoffs due to a tie breaker that they lost. 

That particular season has to be one of Bill Belichicks greatest jobs in his time here. Nobody saw the Patriots going 11-5 that season after Brady went down. 

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7.

9 Conference Championship Appearances 

In the Brady/ Belichick era, the Patriots have been to nine AFC Championship games and have won six of them. 

New England is currently in a stretch in which they have gone to four straight championship games, three of which were held at Gillette Stadium. 

To put this in perspective, Peyton Manning has lost in the first round nine times in his career and the New York Jets have only ever been to four Conference Championship games in franchise history since the AFL - NFL merger. 

To be a final four team in nine of 14 seasons is pretty impressive for the New England Patriots, or for that matter, any other team. 

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6.

12 Division Titles- 6 Straight

The New England Patriots have now won 12 AFC East titles in 14 years and are currently in the middle of a stretch in which they have won six straight. 

With the rest of the AFC East still a disaster, one has to believe that the Pats will be adding a few more titles before the Belichick-Brady era is over. 

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4.

6 Conference Championships

The Patriots have been the best team in the AFC six times in the 14 year run of Bill Belichick and Tom Brady. 

Of the six games the Patriots won, they were favored in four of them and four of the six games were played at Gillette Stadium. 

The six conference Championship wins are as follows:

  • 2001- At Pittsburgh - Pats win 24-17
  • 2003- vs Colts - Pats Win 24-14 
  • 2004- At Pittsburgh - Pats Win 41-27
  • 2007- vs San Diego - Pats Win 21-12
  • 2011- vs Baltimore - Pats Win 23-20
  • 2015- vs Colts - Pats Win 45-7 

Photo courtesy of Au Kirk, Flickr

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3.

4 Rings- 6 Appearances

In the Patriots six appearences in the Super Bowl, they have come out of it with four championships, including a stretch of three in four years. 

The Patriots Super Bowl Wins are as follows: 

  • 2001 vs St. Louis Rams - Pats Win 20-17 
  • 2003 vs Carolina - Pats Win 32-29
  • 2004 vs Philidelphia - Pats Win 24-21
  • 2015 vs Seattle - Pats Win 28-24

 

 

Prev Next

2.

Tom Brady- Greatest QB Ever?

Tom Brady now has four Super Bowl rings in his career tying his boyhood idol Joe Montana and is 4-2 in the Super Bowl with three Super Bowl MVP's. 

Brady is the all-time leader in playoff passing yards with over 7,000 yards through the air and is the all -time leader in playoff wins with 21. Brady is 21-8 in the playoffs all-time. 

Brady also has the most touchdown passes in Super Bowl history with 13 (Montana had 11)  and has the most touchdown passes in playoff history with 53. 

Brady is in the top five in career passing yards with over 53,000 and has a good chance to be in the top three by the time his career is over. 

Tom Brady has 45 career game winning drives, which is tied for fourth all-time, and Brady is also fourth with 35 come from behind wins, 9 of which came in the playoffs. 

The New England Patriots are the greatest team of all-time because they have the greatest quarterback of all time, Tom Brady. 

Prev Next

1.

Bill Belichick- Greatest Coach Ever

The number one reason why the New England Patriots (2001-14) are the greatest team of all time is because they have the greatest coach of all time,  Bill Belichick. 

Belichick now has four Super Bowl Rings which ties him for the most all-time with Chuck Noll, who did it with the Pittsburgh Steelers from 1969-91. However, Belichick gets the edge because he has done it in the salary cap/free agency era,  where his teams have undergone significant changes on a year to year basis. 

Despite the various roster changes from year to year, Belichick has still won and is by far the most dominant coach of this era. 

Bill Belichick has 22 playoff wins which is already more than any other coach in the history of the league and is 103 games over the .500 mark (212-109) in his coaching career. 

Bill Belichick, the greatest coach of the greatest team of all time. 

 
 

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